Reflections on quantitative analysis of sustainable ecotourism development based on Butler model

Wang Chao

COMPUTER MODELLING & NEW TECHNOLOGIES 2014 18(12C) 1124-1130

Qingdao Vocational and Technical College of Hotel Management, Qingdao, Shandong, China, 266100

This paper uses the Butler Model to give a quantitative description of the sustainable ecotourism development. It is supposed that the ecological system is stable under the best condition. The increase in the number of tourist has presented the following features: limited, rapid and constant. The number of tourist will not exceed the environmental capacity K. The rising velocity r, the number of tourist N and the rising number of tourist per unit time dN/dt present a symmetric relation. There is a linear relationship between r, N, dN/dt and t. According to the theory of Butler, we can obtain the formula for the prediction and the assessment of the sustainable ecotourism development. This paper takes the Bird Island of Qinghai Lake as an example to account for the Butler Model and conduct the quantitative analysis.