Study on Xiangyang’s population and aging trend prediction based on discrete population development equation model
Qiong Gu1,2, Wu Zheng1, Xianming Wang3
COMPUTER MODELLING & NEW TECHNOLOGIES 2014 18(3) 249-253
1 College of Mathematics and Computer Science , Hubei University of Arts and Science, No.296 Long Zhong Road Xiangyang, Hubei 441053, China
2 Centre for the Study of Logic and Intelligence, Southwest University, No.2 Tiansheng Road, BeiBei District, Chongqing 400715, China
3 Oujiang College, Wenzhou University, Chashan University Town, Wenzhou 325035, China
Population problem is an important factor that influences economy and social development of China. This paper takes the statistic data of 6th census in 2010 in Xiangyang as the accordance to establish a discrete model of population development equation, to analyse the population aging trend in the future in Xiangyang from a short period, and further to predict the long-term population development trend and aging population change condition in Xiangyang in the case of different total fertility rate to provide reference accordance for the government to make relevant social and economic decisions.